Matchups (PC)

The following matchup charts can be fun to look at but they have some serious issues, so don't go using them for anything too scientific. Of course, if you're just looking for information justifying your preexisting beliefs go straight ahead.

The main problem is that while a matchup chart is meant to account for players of equal skill going against each other, these charts don't take into account actual player skill but instead their results. If a character is easier to play than others that won't show up as them having an overall greater than 50% win rate but in the players who use this character having their rating inflated.

This also goes the other way around, if a character is overall underpowered it won't actually show up in the matchup charts since the players will just have a lower rating. I'm not going to name any names here, of course, but it can be enligtening to look at the global top 100 and see which characters are represented and which ones aren't.

The other issue that I hope to the fix in the future is the systematic bias towards higher win rates that new characters get. When a DLC character comes out and everyone tries them out they of course initially play terrible and tank the rating. However, after they've started figuring things out their skill level rapidly increases and the system can't keep up. This means their ratings are constantly under what they should be and the adjusted win rates become too high.

What's worse is that a lot of people drop the character after that initial learning and go back to their mains, so there isn't as much "good" data to drown out the worse stuff. I've got some ideas on how to fix this but none of them are implemented yet.

For actually useful info I suggest taking a look at the top few players of the character you're interested in and looking at their personal adjustd winrates, that's usually a pretty good hint.

Global matchups

  SO KY MA AX CH PO FA MI ZA RA LE NA GI AN IN GO JC HA BA TE
Sol 50% 53% 51% 48% 52% 48% 51% 53% 48% 51% 49% 46% 48% 51% 54% 48% 50% 49% 49% 42%
Ky 47% 50% 51% 45% 50% 51% 48% 50% 48% 51% 48% 49% 50% 48% 51% 46% 48% 48% 49% 50%
May 49% 49% 50% 55% 53% 50% 51% 52% 50% 50% 46% 49% 49% 47% 49% 45% 54% 49% 47% 51%
Axl 52% 55% 45% 50% 40% 58% 59% 40% 58% 43% 57% 56% 46% 45% 48% 63% 53% 48% 44% 58%
Chipp 48% 50% 47% 60% 50% 50% 54% 51% 53% 53% 44% 51% 52% 46% 51% 51% 51% 55% 45% 49%
Potemkin 52% 49% 50% 42% 50% 50% 43% 54% 48% 48% 55% 48% 52% 54% 48% 38% 45% 56% 49% 47%
Faust 49% 52% 49% 41% 46% 57% 50% 50% 51% 45% 51% 55% 48% 46% 49% 53% 47% 40% 48% 47%
Millia 47% 50% 48% 60% 49% 46% 50% 50% 51% 55% 39% 52% 53% 49% 51% 43% 55% 48% 51% 52%
Zato-1 52% 52% 50% 42% 47% 52% 49% 49% 50% 50% 50% 52% 51% 53% 53% 55% 50% 44% 48% 47%
Ramlethal 49% 49% 50% 57% 47% 52% 55% 45% 50% 50% 48% 50% 48% 49% 46% 55% 52% 52% 48% 53%
Leo 51% 52% 54% 43% 56% 45% 49% 61% 50% 52% 50% 46% 54% 53% 52% 48% 48% 50% 47% 40%
Nagoriyuki 54% 51% 51% 44% 49% 52% 45% 48% 48% 50% 54% 50% 49% 50% 50% 55% 49% 42% 49% 49%
Giovanna 52% 50% 51% 54% 48% 48% 52% 47% 49% 52% 46% 51% 50% 50% 45% 47% 46% 53% 48% 48%
Anji 49% 52% 53% 55% 54% 46% 54% 51% 47% 51% 47% 50% 50% 50% 53% 47% 48% 43% 50% 45%
I-No 46% 49% 51% 52% 49% 52% 51% 49% 47% 54% 48% 50% 55% 47% 50% 53% 53% 47% 44% 51%
Goldlewis 52% 54% 55% 37% 49% 62% 47% 57% 45% 45% 52% 45% 53% 53% 47% 50% 47% 43% 52% 41%
Jack-O' 50% 52% 46% 47% 49% 55% 53% 45% 50% 48% 52% 51% 54% 52% 47% 53% 50% 44% 48% 52%
Happy Chaos 51% 52% 51% 52% 45% 44% 60% 52% 56% 48% 50% 58% 47% 57% 53% 57% 56% 50% 49% 59%
Baiken 51% 51% 53% 56% 55% 51% 52% 49% 52% 52% 53% 51% 52% 50% 56% 48% 52% 51% 50% 49%
Testament 58% 50% 49% 42% 51% 53% 53% 48% 53% 47% 60% 51% 52% 55% 49% 59% 48% 41% 51% 50%

Versus calculated matchups (≥1800)

These matchups are calculated based on the average of high rated players' records against each other. They should be less vulnerable to a single player playing a lot of games and skewing things.

  SO KY MA AX CH PO FA MI ZA RA LE NA GI AN IN GO JC HA BA TE
Sol 50% 51% 52% 51% 51% 50% 51% 53% 47% 50% 48% 46% 45% 52% 51% 48% 52% 44% 46% 49%
Ky 49% 50% 53% 46% 50% 47% 47% 52% 46% 52% 49% 47% 49% 49% 48% 43% 48% 46% 50% 47%
May 48% 47% 50% 55% 50% 46% 53% 51% 49% 46% 50% 46% 51% 51% 50% 42% 51% 42% 42% 50%
Axl 49% 54% 45% 50% 42% 50% 59% 39% 53% 41% 52% 55% 46% 46% 45% 51% 50% 39% 49% 53%
Chipp 49% 50% 50% 58% 50% 51% 49% 45% 53% 54% 45% 52% 51% 52% 53% 51% 51% 52% 39% 46%
Potemkin 50% 53% 54% 50% 49% 50% 44% 56% 51% 46% 52% 46% 50% 52% 48% 33% 49% 52% 50% 57%
Faust 49% 53% 47% 41% 51% 56% 50% 56% 52% 40% 50% 53% 45% 46% 52% 58% 52% 29% 57% 52%
Millia 47% 48% 49% 61% 55% 44% 44% 50% 51% 51% 38% 50% 54% 56% 46% 47% 51% 46% 53% 56%
Zato-1 53% 54% 51% 47% 47% 49% 48% 49% 50% 48% 51% 55% 51% 57% 56% 57% 48% 42% 47% 50%
Ramlethal 50% 48% 54% 59% 46% 54% 60% 49% 52% 50% 48% 51% 48% 51% 44% 50% 57% 55% 49% 54%
Leo 52% 51% 50% 48% 55% 48% 50% 62% 49% 52% 50% 44% 53% 56% 53% 48% 50% 45% 47% 40%
Nagoriyuki 54% 53% 54% 45% 48% 54% 47% 50% 45% 49% 56% 50% 48% 52% 51% 55% 56% 40% 51% 57%
Giovanna 55% 51% 49% 54% 49% 50% 55% 46% 49% 52% 47% 52% 50% 51% 45% 47% 45% 51% 49% 54%
Anji 48% 51% 49% 54% 48% 48% 54% 44% 43% 49% 44% 48% 49% 50% 50% 44% 46% 43% 46% 56%
I-No 49% 52% 50% 55% 47% 52% 48% 54% 44% 56% 47% 49% 55% 50% 50% 50% 57% 42% 43% 62%
Goldlewis 52% 57% 58% 49% 49% 67% 42% 53% 43% 50% 52% 45% 53% 56% 50% 50% 49% 41% 52% 32%
Jack-O' 48% 52% 49% 50% 49% 51% 48% 49% 52% 43% 50% 44% 55% 54% 43% 51% 50% 37% 48% 50%
Happy Chaos 56% 54% 58% 61% 48% 48% 71% 54% 58% 45% 55% 60% 49% 57% 58% 59% 63% 50% 55% 55%
Baiken 54% 50% 58% 51% 61% 50% 43% 47% 53% 51% 53% 49% 51% 54% 57% 48% 52% 45% 50% 46%
Testament 51% 53% 50% 47% 54% 43% 48% 44% 50% 46% 60% 43% 46% 44% 38% 68% 50% 45% 54% 50%

High rated matchups (≥1800)

Matchups with fewer than 250 games are italicized.

  SO KY MA AX CH PO FA MI ZA RA LE NA GI AN IN GO JC HA BA TE
Sol 50% 51% 52% 52% 51% 51% 51% 54% 48% 51% 50% 46% 47% 54% 54% 50% 51% 48% 47% 44%
Ky 49% 50% 51% 49% 50% 49% 50% 53% 48% 52% 49% 48% 51% 50% 49% 46% 48% 49% 49% 52%
May 48% 49% 50% 55% 53% 49% 54% 54% 49% 49% 51% 48% 52% 51% 50% 45% 47% 48% 41% 48%
Axl 48% 51% 45% 50% 43% 51% 57% 41% 53% 40% 52% 56% 46% 46% 47% 51% 50% 44% 46% 57%
Chipp 49% 50% 47% 57% 50% 50% 51% 48% 52% 54% 45% 50% 51% 48% 52% 51% 53% 51% 41% 45%
Potemkin 49% 51% 51% 49% 50% 50% 43% 53% 49% 46% 52% 47% 50% 52% 47% 36% 45% 54% 46% 55%
Faust 49% 50% 46% 43% 49% 57% 50% 55% 52% 43% 51% 54% 46% 43% 54% 59% 45% 31% 53% 40%
Millia 46% 47% 46% 59% 52% 47% 45% 50% 48% 50% 42% 49% 53% 53% 46% 47% 53% 45% 51% 46%
Zato-1 52% 52% 51% 47% 48% 51% 48% 52% 50% 50% 50% 53% 50% 55% 54% 53% 46% 44% 46% 45%
Ramlethal 49% 48% 51% 60% 46% 54% 57% 50% 50% 50% 47% 51% 48% 51% 45% 50% 55% 53% 48% 49%
Leo 50% 51% 49% 48% 55% 48% 49% 58% 50% 53% 50% 43% 53% 52% 53% 48% 50% 47% 46% 40%
Nagoriyuki 54% 52% 52% 44% 50% 53% 46% 51% 47% 49% 57% 50% 47% 50% 50% 53% 54% 43% 50% 49%
Giovanna 53% 49% 48% 54% 49% 50% 54% 47% 50% 52% 47% 53% 50% 50% 47% 49% 45% 53% 48% 48%
Anji 46% 50% 49% 54% 52% 48% 57% 47% 45% 49% 48% 50% 50% 50% 52% 48% 44% 46% 47% 46%
I-No 46% 51% 50% 53% 48% 53% 46% 54% 46% 55% 47% 50% 53% 48% 50% 49% 57% 47% 44% 52%
Goldlewis 50% 54% 55% 49% 49% 64% 41% 53% 47% 50% 52% 47% 51% 52% 51% 50% 47% 44% 50% 38%
Jack-O' 49% 52% 53% 50% 47% 55% 55% 47% 54% 45% 50% 46% 55% 56% 43% 53% 50% 44% 48% 45%
Happy Chaos 52% 51% 52% 56% 49% 46% 69% 55% 56% 47% 53% 57% 47% 54% 53% 56% 56% 50% 50% 56%
Baiken 53% 51% 59% 54% 59% 54% 47% 49% 54% 52% 54% 50% 52% 53% 56% 50% 52% 50% 50% 46%
Testament 56% 48% 52% 43% 55% 45% 60% 54% 55% 51% 60% 51% 52% 54% 48% 62% 55% 44% 54% 50%